The banner story in today’s newspaper reports that nonpartisan voters prefer the top Democratic presidential contenders over Donald Trump.
“The results of the poll, which surveyed 402 likely nonpartisan voters from Feb. 2-4, found that former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren each have slight leads over Trump in hypothetical, head-to-head November matchups,” the story says, noting that nonpartisans make up only about 22 percent of active registered voters.
Just how likely are they to vote? Well, not so likely after all.
The third paragraph from the end notes, “A staggering 40 percent of the respondents had not voted in any of the past four elections.”
What’s the margin of error?