Poll shows tight races for senator and governor

A poll for the Reno Gazette-Journal by Suffolk University of Boston shows both the race for Nevada’s governor and U.S. senator to be almost dead even. The paper concluded undecided voters could play a major role come November.

The poll of 500 likely voters has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

This is how the race for governor stands:

This how the race for senator stands:

It looks like the campaign to defeat the Energy Choice Initiative, Question 3, is being effective. The measure passed with 72 percent of the vote two years ago:

Notice who has the highest unfavorable rating in the state:

Then there is the question of turnout by county. Those polled were:

The current active voters, according the Secretary of State, breaks down as Clark 69.3 percent, Washoe 17.7 percent and others 13 percent. But in the last mid-term election in 2014, the actual turnout was Clark 61.8 percent, Washoe 21.1 and others 17.1 percent. So, if the rural turnout is greater than the turnout in heavily Democratic urban centers that might make a difference. But as June the number of active voters in the rurals had dropped to 13 percent, down from 15 percent in 2014.

 

3 comments on “Poll shows tight races for senator and governor

  1. Steve says:

    They left Q6 out of the poll.

  2. Steve says:

    I think 3 and 6 go hand in hand. I also think some very powerful organizations are scared to death they both pass.
    Think, if they both pass, Nevada would be a total test for market driven renewable energy. That 50% requirement would force all who sell in the state to generate at least 50% from renewable sources.
    I get the feeling there are many who simply cannot stomach what a market would do with the realities of renewables. The biggest fear, IMO, is it would lay bare the weakness of un-subsidized renewables, how does a government justify subsidizing multiple private companies to the levels needed to force green to produce?

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